Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
234 Prairie View 100.0%   16   21 - 12 17 - 1 21 - 12 17 - 1 -4.2      -2.5 248 -1.7 221 75.6 42 -1.7 190 +4.4 1
238 Texas Southern 0.0%   19 - 13 14 - 4 19 - 13 14 - 4 -4.4      -0.5 190 -3.9 275 83.6 7 -2.9 205 -4.7 2
294 Grambling St. 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -7.8      -6.9 327 -1.0 195 73.1 77 -9.1 309 -10.8 5
320 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   12 - 19 10 - 8 12 - 19 10 - 8 -10.6      -6.1 319 -4.5 293 65.0 284 -9.6 311 -10.4 4
328 Jackson St. 0.0%   11 - 19 10 - 8 11 - 19 10 - 8 -11.5      -10.1 344 -1.4 210 64.6 290 -11.8 329 -10.3 3
334 Alabama St. 0.0%   10 - 19 9 - 9 10 - 19 9 - 9 -12.5      -7.0 330 -5.5 313 67.6 214 -11.5 328 -11.7 6
336 Southern 0.0%   6 - 25 6 - 12 6 - 25 6 - 12 -13.6      -7.9 336 -5.7 316 65.9 255 -17.4 344 -16.1 8
348 Alabama A&M 0.0%   5 - 27 4 - 14 5 - 27 4 - 14 -16.0      -12.0 350 -3.9 278 65.1 281 -18.5 349 -19.3 10
349 Alcorn St. 0.0%   6 - 21 6 - 12 6 - 21 6 - 12 -18.1      -11.1 348 -7.0 335 65.4 276 -16.4 341 -15.4 7
350 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   5 - 26 4 - 14 5 - 26 4 - 14 -18.2      -10.8 347 -7.4 342 71.8 98 -18.0 347 -18.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Prairie View 1.0 100.0
Texas Southern 2.0 100.0
Grambling St. 3.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 3.0 100.0
Jackson St. 3.0 100.0
Alabama St. 6.0 100.0
Southern 7.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 9.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 7.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Prairie View 17 - 1 100.0
Texas Southern 14 - 4 100.0
Grambling St. 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 10 - 8 100.0
Jackson St. 10 - 8 100.0
Alabama St. 9 - 9 100.0
Southern 6 - 12 100.0
Alabama A&M 4 - 14 100.0
Alcorn St. 6 - 12 100.0
Mississippi Valley 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Prairie View 100.0% 100.0
Texas Southern
Grambling St.
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Jackson St.
Alabama St.
Southern
Alabama A&M
Alcorn St.
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Prairie View 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.2 99.8
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Prairie View 100.0% 67.5% 64.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 64.7% 0.6 35.3 64.7
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0